This New Dogecoin Price Prediction Shows 40% Crash Risk to $0.095 And DOGE Death Cross

Dogecoin (DOGE) price
tested $0.1471 on Wednesday, marking its lowest level in five months excluding
the October 10 flash crash across the broader crypto market.

However, today
(Thursday), 20 November, 2025, brought a nearly 2% rebound to $0.1571, keeping
DOGE above the critical support zone that has anchored prices throughout most
of 2025.

In this
article, I examine why the price of Dogecoin is declining and why current
forecasts point to a potential additional drop of about 40 percent, drawing on
my ten years of experience as a trader and analyst.

Dogecoin Price Today. Why
DOGE Is Falling?

According
to my technical analysis, the today’s level of $0.15 coincides with important
support zone, that has been drawn continuously from the March lows and has
already been tested five times since then, forming the lower boundary of a
consolidation range that has persisted through most of the year.

The upper
boundary of this consolidation falls between $0.27-$0.29, representing the
February peaks that were retested in July and again in September. While DOGE
maintains this sideways consolidation range, the main strategy should be swing
trading, bouncing up from support and down from resistance.

However,
the moving average configuration suggests that bears currently hold the
advantage.

Critical Technical Levels for Dogecoin

DOGE Technical Analysis: Death
Cross Formation Signals Bearish Momentum

My Dogecoin
price prediction starts with a critical warning: we are currently trading below
both the 50 and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), a clear signal that
the downtrend is now dominant.

According
to real-time data, DOGE trades at $0.1571 while the 50-day EMA sits at $0.1973
and the 200-day EMA at $0.2090, meaning the price is 20% below the 50-day and
25% below the 200-day average.

More
concerning, at the end of October, these two averages crossed, creating a
powerful sell signal known as the death cross. Since this formation, DOGE has
corrected more than 25%, validating the bearish pattern.

“DOGE
is trading around $0.1530, showing weakening structure with price under
pressure and technicals leaning bearish,” noted Bill Tech, a technical
analyst who shared a short setup on the cryptocurrency.

$DOGE ⚡ DOGE 1H Eyes Key Resistance – Short Setup? ⚡

📉 Plan Short

Entry: $0.1530 – $0.1550

SL: $0.1575

TP: $0.1410 – $0.1350

📊 Analysis Summary

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.1530, showing weakening structure with price under pressure and technicals leaning…

— Bill Tech (@Tech_baro0) November 18, 2025

According
to my technical analysis, if we see a clear break of the lower consolidation
boundary, the current support zone, and a definitive move below the $0.15
level, then Dogecoin has an open path for a further 40% decline toward levels
below $0.10, specifically to $0.095. This represents the lows from the second
half of last year, which were tested intensively in July, August, and September
2024.

Dogecoin Price Forecast:
Two Scenarios

Based on my
comprehensive technical analysis, I’m tracking two distinct scenarios for DOGE
in the coming weeks and months.

Bearish Breakdown Scenario
(Primary):

If we don’t
see a clearer bounce from the current lower consolidation band and a return
above the 200 EMA coinciding with local resistance around $0.21, the bearish
scenario is certainly worth considering. My chart analysis has marked with
dashed lines two other local resistance levels that could make it difficult for
DOGE to bounce: the first is around $0.17, and the second is the previously
mentioned $0.19, representing the August 2025 lows.

My Dogecoin
price prediction for this bearish case targets $0.095, which would represent a
40% decline from current levels and align with critical support that held
during multiple tests in mid-2024.

Bill Tech’s analysis supports this bearish
outlook with his short setup: “Plan Short – Entry: $0.1530 – $0.1550, SL:
$0.1575, TP: $0.1410 – $0.1350.” He noted that “if selling pressure
ramps up and DOGE breaks below support at ~$0.151, short-targets come into play
at ~$0.1410 and potentially ~$0.1350.”

Range Continuation
Scenario (Alternative):

The
consolidation range between $0.15 and $0.27-$0.29 has held throughout 2025,
providing repeated swing trading opportunities.

Challenging Environment
for Crypto

Dogecoin is
not alone in retesting multi-month lows and flashing strong sell signals. I
have noted similar patterns on other charts as well:

“The
latest price movements indicate we are 2 months into a Bear market and until we
see greater institutional adoption of risk assets, we can expect volatility of
cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies

By using cryptography, virtual currencies, known as cryptocurrencies, are nearly counterfeit-proof digital currencies that are built on blockchain technology. Comprised of decentralized networks, blockchain technology is not overseen by a central authority.Therefore, cryptocurrencies function in a decentralized nature which theoretically makes them immune to government interference. The term, cryptocurrency derives from the origin of the encryption techniques that are employed to secure the netw

By using cryptography, virtual currencies, known as cryptocurrencies, are nearly counterfeit-proof digital currencies that are built on blockchain technology. Comprised of decentralized networks, blockchain technology is not overseen by a central authority.Therefore, cryptocurrencies function in a decentralized nature which theoretically makes them immune to government interference. The term, cryptocurrency derives from the origin of the encryption techniques that are employed to secure the netw
Read this Term to be correlated with market cap,” Paul Howard, Director at
Wincent, provided broader context on the challenging market environment.